Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 17.039417 19.332342 21.828792 24.750187 28.077234 31.750788 36.118070
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 13.813493 16.814983 20.325014 24.738659 30.149393 36.578010 44.813745
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 10.987109 14.243415 18.303330 23.749938 30.887013 39.950481 52.381891
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.841059 12.153181 16.536934 22.785967 31.504197 43.293998 60.547010
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.390869 10.738968 15.428488 22.510976 33.001733 48.070021 71.540653
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 6.340898 9.711359 14.693369 22.644424 35.117312 54.101792 85.509950
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.426904 8.735215 13.880911 22.535079 36.873997 59.942432 100.382030
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.847542 8.184163 13.634456 23.276621 40.121382 68.720432 121.769058
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.245252 7.496623 13.058640 23.380899 42.343094 76.230111 142.574397
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.622416 6.671445 12.118024 22.691535 43.058148 81.263167 159.996728
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.155491 6.049760 11.438537 22.362008 44.385209 87.677688 181.441138
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.875781 5.733800 11.274741 22.992563 47.700408 98.562070 214.265313
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.645830 5.489039 11.232320 23.913333 51.904427 112.309933 256.838733
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.374509 5.115157 10.871341 24.113735 54.649773 123.593932 296.751510
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.058013 4.592375 10.113390 23.314785 55.036239 129.781422 326.343855
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.787615 4.126075 9.402209 22.495894 55.234305 135.629369 356.701610
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.599594 3.816746 8.994887 22.325521 56.992751 145.683458 400.640094
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.459126 3.596464 8.759795 22.539682 59.788446 159.011712 457.056470
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.321464 3.359791 8.445789 22.496399 61.916031 171.090410 513.254645
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.241160 3.255082 8.445614 23.291126 66.529053 191.073517 598.547846
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.139332 3.076660 8.224675 23.439481 69.352461 206.626328 674.512345
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.016350 2.820295 7.752365 22.782615 69.669885 214.848323 729.108835
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.921730 2.626924 7.421206 22.478843 71.014494 226.581704 799.075122